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Archive for January, 2009

Blago and Me

Tuesday, January 27th, 2009

Sort of like Marley and Me, but more sad.

Notice the creepy Glenn head in between us.

Notice the creepy Glenn head in between us.

Dan was making fun of me because I never get my picture taken with the celebrities that come by the show, and yet, I go out of my way to hang with the Blagomeister.  That’s likely a valid criticism.  But this is still a solid photo.

Make sure to watch Glenn’s interview with Blagojevich tonight at 5pm eastern on Fox News.  Why?  Glenn opens the interview with “Governor, I’m not a fan” and it gets better from there.

Barack Obama Approval Rating: 99%

Tuesday, January 20th, 2009

Right after his election, I wrote about giving Barack Obama a clean slate.

So today, I give Barack Obama a 100% approval rating. If and when he screws up, I’ll deduct points. Let’s make it a maximum of 10 points for each individual annoying event. If he does something great-I’ll add points. I’m that kind of guy. Let’s see how long he stays above 50%.

I decided not to take any points away until he actually took office.  It didn’t take long for his first minor infraction–in which Obama loses one percentage point.

The question we ask today is not whether our government is too big or too small, but whether it works.

This is fundamentally wrong.  Size does matter.  You can easily look back at the founders and see that the size of the government was incredibly important to them.   But, I’ll let Glenn hit you with the quotes from the 1700s.

What bothers me is that this logic puts you in a never ending circle that only leads to larger, more ineffective government.  When something fails, you try to fix it.  How do you do that?  You assign more resources.

That’s what government does with schools.

Schools fail->someone says they’re underfunded->there’s more funding->schools continue to fail->repeat

So, if you don’t start with at least a general goal of making government smaller, and allow for very few exceptions, you will reliably find things that don’t work, throw money at them, and then unavoidably make them more of a nightmare then they were before.

But it doesn’t end there.  How does Obama define a government that “works?”  Four ways:

  1. help families find jobs (I assume he means individuals in families, unless he’s looking to create a new Partridge Family-esque industry)
  2. have those jobs pay a “decent wage”
  3. get them “care they can afford” (I assume that means health care, unless it’s just encouragement and moral support)
  4. and get them “a retirement that is dignified”
Now, if all the government had to do was find people jobs, make them earn whatever random number they find “decent”, and supply sufficiently-caring-health-care–I’d be incredibly confident.  How could that possibly go wrong?
But, how exactly do you guarantee dignity?

How rare is it to survive a plane crash?

Friday, January 16th, 2009

I originally posted this a while back–but I figured it was probably interesting again (or for the first time, or not at all) today.   There’s an interesting new book by Ben Sherwood coming out in the next couple of weeks that discusses how to maintain the best chance of survival in various situations in life, such as a plane crash. (Hint: Sit towards the back.)  We’ll try to get him on to talk about it.

 

Also, we have a new TV show starting on Fox News at 5pm Monday (with special guest Sarah Palin among others), so a reprint of an old blog is as good as you’re going to get this week.   

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We all have the relative or friend that won’t get fly because they’re convinced they’re going to die. It’s not exactly the worst thought process in the world considering it’s a giant metal thing that’s 30,000 feet in the air.

But, I’m not personally worried about these things. I’m a numbers guy. If I have a moment of brutal turbulence, I just think “what are the odds” that I’m on the one flight that ends up in a later conspiracy theory for being hit by a missile to distract America from the ties between big oil, Bear Stearns, and the Bohemian Grove.

But the problem is-”that relative” who is scared of flying, is definitely NOT a numbers person. It doesn’t matter how many times you tell them that the odds of crashing are less than Ashley Dupre’s odds at getting a recording contract before she was hooking up with client #9.

But, it can’t hurt to keep trying. So here’s some ammunition for next time.

First, after 9-11 you almost definitely knew someone who decided not to fly, and instead drive to wherever they were going. In the following holiday season, studies showed that almost a million and a half people made that choice, not realizing that driving is much more dangerous than flying.

Certainly, the newness and uncertainty of the threat of terrorism makes that understandable, but the sum total of those decisions were that an extra thousand people died due on the roads that would have been safe in the air. That’s one-third the amount that actually died from the attacks. (I have a calculator.)

Secondly, you know the odds of being on a plane on the exact time it crashes are really small. But even if you are involved in a crash, and even if that crash is major enough to result in “total hull loss” (like the plane being totaled) —you still have a 69% chance of living through it. If you take out the three worst crashes, you’re closer to 90%—almost as high as the chances of sitting next to a guy who smells like soup.




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